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Analyst Blog Watch: LightPath Posts A High-Performance Quarter

February 9, 2010 (FinancialWire) (Investrend Forums Syndicate) (By Gary Vassalotti, LIFA) — LightPath Technologies, Inc.’s (NASDAQ: LPTH) strategy of lowering product manufacturing costs and increasing sales volume has resulted in an increase in its gross margins to 27% (9/30/08) vs. 10% (9/30/07). That dramatic increase was achieved with an increase in sales, which went from $2.308 mm (9/07) to $2.337 mm (9/08), an increase of over 25%.

In my prior post (http://www.investrendweblogs.net/vassalotti/2010/02/03/lightpath-specific-products-few-specific-competitors/) we briefly discussed markets. I estimated that the market for LPTH’s lens product was close to the $77 million dollar Electrical Equipment Supplies subcategory.

During the company’s Q2 ’10 results conference call (at http://www.investorcalendar.com/IC/ClientPage.asp?ID=154437), however, LPTH estimated its market segment for Asphere lenses to grow to $1.5 billion over the next five years. This is a much bigger pond to play in, and, if the projections are accurate, should allow the company to generate future sales growth. The Asphere market’s growth was broken-down as 50% in the cell phone arena, 40% from digital still cameras, and 105% growth in the laser projector and thermal imaging segment. Furthermore, LPTH’s growth in those markets should not cause as significant an increase in costs, because their China factory is currently running at only 25% of capacity.

Unlike many small firms, LightPath’s quick ratio of 2.13 indicates good financial stability. The quick ratio is an indicator of short term liquidity and the company’s ability to pay its bills over the next year. LightPath’s number means the company has the ability to repay twice its current short term liabilities amount. Too many small firms end up having to issue stock or debt just to survive during the following year, often at fire sale prices. A quick ratio of 2.13 greatly reduces any perceived need to urgently raise funds.

All-in-all, it was a good quarter that shows a positive potential for further growth in sales and profitability. Investors may wish to do further research into this firm to determine a price target and investment suitability for their portfolios.

Source: Investrend Weblogs (http://www.investrendweblogs.net/vassalotti/2010/02/08/lightpath-posts-a-high-performance-quarter/)

Gary Vassalotti, LIFA, is president of Vimcor, an equity analysis and portfolio management practice, as well as a contributing equity research analyst for Investrend Research. He previously worked with First American Bank, NA, First Union National Bank, and Montag Management, and has an overall interest in global markets. Mr. Vassalotti is a member of the North Carolina Society of Financial Analysts, the CFA Institute, and the North Carolina Investment Advisors Association (and was a former board member). Mr. Vassalotti has a B.S. in Finance with an emphasis in Economics from The Pennsylvania State University.

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